Excited About Buying A Home This Year Heres What To Watch

Dated: January 2 2019

Views: 67

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here's What to Watch | MyKCM

As we kick off the new year, many families have made resolutions to enter the housing market in 2019. Whether you are thinking of finally ditching your landlord and buying your first home or selling your starter house to move into your forever home, there are two pieces of the real estate puzzle you need to watch carefully: interest rates & inventory.

Interest Rates

Mortgage interest rates had been on the rise for much of 2018, but they made a welcome reversal at the end of the year. According to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, rates climbed to 4.94% in November before falling to 4.62% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage last week. Despite the recent drop, interest rates are projected to reach 5% in 2019.

The interest rate you secure when buying a home not only greatly impacts your monthly housing costs, but also impacts your purchasing power.

Purchasing power, simply put, is the amount of home you can afford to buy for the budget you have available to spend. As rates increase, the price of the house you can afford to buy will decrease if you plan to stay within a certain monthly housing budget.

The chart below shows the impact that rising interest rates would have if you planned to purchase a $400,000 home while keeping your principal and interest payments between $2,020-$2,050 a month.

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here's What to Watch | MyKCM

With each quarter of a percent increase in interest rate, the value of the home you can afford decreases by 2.5% (in this example, $10,000).

Inventory

A ‘normal’ real estate market requires there to be a 6-month supply of homes for sale in order for prices to increase only with inflation. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), listing inventory is currently at a 3.9-month supply (still well below the 6-months needed), which has put upward pressure on home prices. Home prices have increased year-over-year for the last 81 straight months.

The inventory of homes for sale in the real estate market had been on a steady decline and experienced year-over-year drops for 36 straight months (from July 2015 to May 2018), but we are starting to see a shift in inventory over the last six months.

The chart below shows the change in housing supply over the last 12 months compared to the previous 12 months. As you can see, since June, inventory levels have started to increase as compared to the same time last year.

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here's What to Watch | MyKCM

This is a trend to watch as we move further into the new year. If we continue to see an increase in homes for sale, we could start moving further away from a seller’s market and closer to a normal market.

Bottom Line

If you are planning to enter the housing market, either as a buyer or a seller, let’s get together to discuss the changes in mortgage interest rates and inventory and what they could mean for you. Contact Tricia Glover and The Glover Team at 540-846-0185, visit our website at http://tglover.liveinfredericksburgva.com.

Blog author image

Tricia Glover

As an agent who's an expert in this local area, I bring wealth of knowledge and expertise about buying and selling real estate in the Northern Virginia Area. It's not the same everywhere, so you need....

Latest Blog Posts

What To Provide For Mortgage Pre Approval

What to Provide for Mortgage Pre ApprovalIf you’re in the market for a home, particularly your first one, it’s advisable to meet with a mortgage lender at the beginning of the process. Having a

Read More

The Question Is Carpet Yes Or No

Carpet Comfort for Your BedroomThe bedroom, particularly the master, is your personal haven. Part of what can make it cozy is a sumptuous carpet. But with so many types and styles, how do you?

Read More

What About Brunch

LIFESTYLEWhat Time is it Considered Brunch?LYDIA GREENEIf you were to ask me, "what time is brunch?" I would say that brunch is an innovation of mankind, one that cannot be truly defined. In my

Read More

Did You Know

Tricia Glover, RealtorThe Glover Team, Inc. 540-846-0185http://tglover.liveinfredericksburgva

Read More